What is Capacity in software development? – The #NoEstimates journey

I hear this a lot in the #NoEstimates discussion: you must estimate to know what you can deliver for a certain price, time or effort. Actually, you don’t. There’s a different way to look at your organization and your project. Organizations and projects have an inherent capacity, that capacity is a result of many different …

Humans suck at statistics – how agile velocity leads managers astray

Humans are highly optimized for quick decision making. The so-called System 1 that Kahneman refers to in his book “Thinking fast, thinking slow“. One specific area of weakness for the average human is understanding statistics. A very simple exercise to review this is the coin-toss simulation. Humans are highly optimized for quick decision making. Get …

You cannot transition to Agile. Stop and just embrace it!

I am writing this blog post to explore a concept. So bear with me, I’ll probably ask more questions than I’ll answer. Why do most Agile fail in our companies (or government organizations for that matter)? My view is that we cannot actually transition from a command and control management paradigm to Agile / Complex …

We all want more value. Fine! But what do you mean by value? A discussion on the meaning of “value”

In the agile community there’s been lately a great deal of talk about “value” and why that is more important than “process”. I also believe that we should try to optimize for value in our software environment, be it a small ISV or a big SW corporation. But what does value mean for you? The …

On how PMBOK Change management creates variability and reduces predicatbility

In the last post I tried to point out how the analytical approach of any standard (and specifically PMBOK’s) will create problems for those actually having to implement those standards.Change management in PMBOK is a particularly large problem in this respect. Scope Control (PMBOK’s process for change management in scope) comes at 19 different activities. …